Tesla shares closed the prior week at $406.43 amid ongoing focus on autonomy and robotics progress, with the >$420 bin holding the highest implied probability at 35% as traders price in potential upside from FSD expansion and Optimus updates. Elevated capital expenditure guidance above prior targets and mixed Q1 2026 results have tempered near-term margin expectations, supporting clustered probabilities in the $385–$420 range that reflect recent trading around the 400 level and 52-week highs near $499. SpaceX’s IPO debut and associated market rotation have introduced short-term volatility, while analyst targets averaging above current levels underscore the market-implied odds as aggregated sentiment on execution milestones ahead of mid-June catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
$405-$410 38%
$385-$390 30%
>$420 15%
<$375 12%
<$375
12%
$375-$380
9%
$380-$385
7%
$385-$390
30%
$390-$395
10%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
10%
$405-$410
38%
$410-$415
7%
$415-$420
12%
>$420
36%
$405-$410 38%
$385-$390 30%
>$420 15%
<$375 12%
<$375
12%
$375-$380
9%
$380-$385
7%
$385-$390
30%
$390-$395
10%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
10%
$405-$410
38%
$410-$415
7%
$415-$420
12%
>$420
36%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed the prior week at $406.43 amid ongoing focus on autonomy and robotics progress, with the >$420 bin holding the highest implied probability at 35% as traders price in potential upside from FSD expansion and Optimus updates. Elevated capital expenditure guidance above prior targets and mixed Q1 2026 results have tempered near-term margin expectations, supporting clustered probabilities in the $385–$420 range that reflect recent trading around the 400 level and 52-week highs near $499. SpaceX’s IPO debut and associated market rotation have introduced short-term volatility, while analyst targets averaging above current levels underscore the market-implied odds as aggregated sentiment on execution milestones ahead of mid-June catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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