Recent downward pressure on Tesla shares, including a drop to 415.88 on June 1 and subsequent trading near 423-424 amid reports of surging China EV sales by competitors like BYD, positions the <$420 bucket as the leading outcome with 52.5% market-implied probability. Broader sector challenges, including robotaxi competition from Waymo and OpenAI's robotics hiring, alongside SpaceX IPO speculation potentially diverting investor focus, have weighed on sentiment and contributed to the clustered probabilities in lower price ranges. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects uncertainty around near-term catalysts ahead of the June 5 close, with no immediate earnings or policy events expected to reverse the recent trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$420 59%
>$465 27.9%
$420-$425 20%
$425-$430 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
<$420
46%
$420-$425
20%
$425-$430
17%
$430-$435
14%
$435-$440
12%
$440-$445
10%
$445-$450
10%
$450-$455
6%
$455-$460
9%
$460-$465
8%
>$465
28%
<$420 59%
>$465 27.9%
$420-$425 20%
$425-$430 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
<$420
$281 Vol.
46%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
20%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
17%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
14%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
12%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
10%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
10%
$450-$455
$7 Vol.
6%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
9%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
8%
>$465
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent downward pressure on Tesla shares, including a drop to 415.88 on June 1 and subsequent trading near 423-424 amid reports of surging China EV sales by competitors like BYD, positions the <$420 bucket as the leading outcome with 52.5% market-implied probability. Broader sector challenges, including robotaxi competition from Waymo and OpenAI's robotics hiring, alongside SpaceX IPO speculation potentially diverting investor focus, have weighed on sentiment and contributed to the clustered probabilities in lower price ranges. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects uncertainty around near-term catalysts ahead of the June 5 close, with no immediate earnings or policy events expected to reverse the recent trend.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$288Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent downward pressure on Tesla shares, including a drop to 415.88 on June 1 and subsequent trading near 423-424 amid reports of surging China EV sales by competitors like BYD, positions the <$420 bucket as the leading outcome with 52.5% market-implied probability. Broader sector challenges, including robotaxi competition from Waymo and OpenAI's robotics hiring, alongside SpaceX IPO speculation potentially diverting investor focus, have weighed on sentiment and contributed to the clustered probabilities in lower price ranges. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects uncertainty around near-term catalysts ahead of the June 5 close, with no immediate earnings or policy events expected to reverse the recent trend.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$288Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent downward pressure on Tesla shares, including a drop to 415.88 on June 1 and subsequent trading near 423-424 amid reports of surging China EV sales by competitors like BYD, positions the <$420 bucket as the leading outcome with 52.5% market-implied probability. Broader sector challenges, including robotaxi competition from Waymo and OpenAI's robotics hiring, alongside SpaceX IPO speculation potentially diverting investor focus, have weighed on sentiment and contributed to the clustered probabilities in lower price ranges. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, reflects uncertainty around near-term catalysts ahead of the June 5 close, with no immediate earnings or policy events expected to reverse the recent trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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