Bayern Munich holds a commanding 2-1 aggregate lead after Harry Kane's return-from-injury goal and Luis Díaz's strike secured a gritty first-leg victory at the Bernabéu in this UEFA Champions League quarter-final. Hosting the second leg at Allianz Arena amplifies their favoritism, with Vincent Kompany's side boasting home advantage, recent momentum, and a relatively fit squad including Michael Olise and Serge Gnabry. Real Madrid grapples with key absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh issues, Rodrygo out long-term with a knee injury, and Ferland Mendy doubtful—forcing Andriy Lunin into goal amid a pressured need to attack. Traders reflect this edge in the 61.5% implied probability for a Bayern win, viewing Real's 21.5% upset path as uphill despite their resilience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich holds a commanding 2-1 aggregate lead after Harry Kane's return-from-injury goal and Luis Díaz's strike secured a gritty first-leg victory at the Bernabéu in this UEFA Champions League quarter-final. Hosting the second leg at Allianz Arena amplifies their favoritism, with Vincent Kompany's side boasting home advantage, recent momentum, and a relatively fit squad including Michael Olise and Serge Gnabry. Real Madrid grapples with key absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh issues, Rodrygo out long-term with a knee injury, and Ferland Mendy doubtful—forcing Andriy Lunin into goal amid a pressured need to attack. Traders reflect this edge in the 61.5% implied probability for a Bayern win, viewing Real's 21.5% upset path as uphill despite their resilience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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