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Economía·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

Market icon
Economía·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

<336k 45%

336 - 338k 45%

338 - 340k 45%

340 - 342k 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<336k 45%

336 - 338k 45%

338 - 340k 45%

340 - 342k 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<336k

$0 Vol.

45%

336 - 338k

$0 Vol.

45%

338 - 340k

$0 Vol.

45%

340 - 342k

$0 Vol.

45%

342 - 344k

$0 Vol.

45%

344 - 346k

$0 Vol.

45%

346 - 348k

$0 Vol.

45%

>348k

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Polymarket traders show evenly distributed implied probabilities across Chicago median home value bins clustered around $340,000 for April 30, reflecting the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro at $338,685 in February 2026, up 4.0% year-over-year but with only modest 1.1% month-over-month gains. Persistent low inventory—down notably year-over-year—supports price stability amid high mortgage rates near 7%, capping aggressive appreciation while spring buying season looms. Trader consensus highlights balanced forces: supply constraints versus affordability pressures from Federal Reserve policy stasis, with no decisive catalyst emerging in recent Illinois Realtors data through February. Key differentiators include upcoming March ZHVI release and nonfarm payrolls influencing rate cut odds, potentially tipping sentiment toward higher bins if labor data softens.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<336k" con 45%, seguido de "336 - 338k" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" es "<336k" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "336 - 338k" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.