US-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including extraditions and joint operations targeting Sinaloa and CJNG factions, has driven multiple 2026 arrests of regional leaders such as René Arzate-García, Gabriel Nicolás Martínez Larios, Audias Flores Silva, and Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala. Rewards programs offering up to $5 million for information, combined with narcoterrorism charges and prior 2025 extraditions of dozens of fugitives, continue to incentivize tips and disrupt command structures. February 2026 cartel unrest and violence also prompted heightened enforcement responses. Ongoing DEA actions, sanctions, and intelligence sharing could influence additional high-value captures before year-end, while cartel adaptations and leadership vacuums introduce uncertainty around specific individuals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué líderes de cárteles serán arrestados en 2026?
¿Qué líderes de cárteles serán arrestados en 2026?
$143,093 Vol.
28 feb 2026
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
71%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytán
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia González
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
49%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
50%
$143,093 Vol.
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
$5,906 Vol.
71%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
$5,848 Vol.
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 Vol.
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytán
$4,874 Vol.
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia González
$58,662 Vol.
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
$200 Vol.
49%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
$658 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including extraditions and joint operations targeting Sinaloa and CJNG factions, has driven multiple 2026 arrests of regional leaders such as René Arzate-García, Gabriel Nicolás Martínez Larios, Audias Flores Silva, and Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala. Rewards programs offering up to $5 million for information, combined with narcoterrorism charges and prior 2025 extraditions of dozens of fugitives, continue to incentivize tips and disrupt command structures. February 2026 cartel unrest and violence also prompted heightened enforcement responses. Ongoing DEA actions, sanctions, and intelligence sharing could influence additional high-value captures before year-end, while cartel adaptations and leadership vacuums introduce uncertainty around specific individuals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Volumen
$143,093Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including extraditions and joint operations targeting Sinaloa and CJNG factions, has driven multiple 2026 arrests of regional leaders such as René Arzate-García, Gabriel Nicolás Martínez Larios, Audias Flores Silva, and Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala. Rewards programs offering up to $5 million for information, combined with narcoterrorism charges and prior 2025 extraditions of dozens of fugitives, continue to incentivize tips and disrupt command structures. February 2026 cartel unrest and violence also prompted heightened enforcement responses. Ongoing DEA actions, sanctions, and intelligence sharing could influence additional high-value captures before year-end, while cartel adaptations and leadership vacuums introduce uncertainty around specific individuals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$143,093Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including extraditions and joint operations targeting Sinaloa and CJNG factions, has driven multiple 2026 arrests of regional leaders such as René Arzate-García, Gabriel Nicolás Martínez Larios, Audias Flores Silva, and Ramón Ángel Álvarez Ayala. Rewards programs offering up to $5 million for information, combined with narcoterrorism charges and prior 2025 extraditions of dozens of fugitives, continue to incentivize tips and disrupt command structures. February 2026 cartel unrest and violence also prompted heightened enforcement responses. Ongoing DEA actions, sanctions, and intelligence sharing could influence additional high-value captures before year-end, while cartel adaptations and leadership vacuums introduce uncertainty around specific individuals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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