US-Iran direct talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement over the April 11-13 weekend, as Vice President JD Vance's delegation—including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—presented terms on nuclear enrichment curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz access that Iran rejected after 21 hours of negotiations. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days via Pakistan mediation, amid an ongoing US naval blockade enforcing a fragile ceasefire from the recent war. Diplomats and UN Secretary-General Guterres highlight high prospects for renewed diplomacy before April 30, with sticking points centering on verifiable de-escalation commitments and regional proxies. Trader consensus reflects anticipation of continued high-level US engagement to avert escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$116,727 Vol.

Donald Trump
5%

J.D. Vance
76%

Marco Rubio
9%

Jared Kushner
80%

Steve Witkoff
82%
$116,727 Vol.

Donald Trump
5%

J.D. Vance
76%

Marco Rubio
9%

Jared Kushner
80%

Steve Witkoff
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran direct talks in Islamabad concluded without agreement over the April 11-13 weekend, as Vice President JD Vance's delegation—including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—presented terms on nuclear enrichment curbs, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz access that Iran rejected after 21 hours of negotiations. President Trump signaled a second round could resume within days via Pakistan mediation, amid an ongoing US naval blockade enforcing a fragile ceasefire from the recent war. Diplomats and UN Secretary-General Guterres highlight high prospects for renewed diplomacy before April 30, with sticking points centering on verifiable de-escalation commitments and regional proxies. Trader consensus reflects anticipation of continued high-level US engagement to avert escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes