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icon for ¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?

¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?

icon for ¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?

¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?

27% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
27% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".Monza's early September timing places the Italian Grand Prix in a period of climatologically stable late-summer weather across northern Italy, where precipitation risk remains low and high-pressure patterns typically dominate. Long-term averages and recent seasons show minimal rainfall during race weekend, supporting dry conditions that allow teams to optimize tire strategies and setup for outright pace on the high-speed Temple of Speed layout without wet-weather variables. With the event still over a week away, short-term forecast uncertainty exists, yet current models and historical precedents align with the 73% implied probability for no rain by emphasizing consistent dry trends over potential isolated afternoon showers.

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.

The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.

This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50.

Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify.

If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".Monza's early September timing places the Italian Grand Prix in a period of climatologically stable late-summer weather across northern Italy, where precipitation risk remains low and high-pressure patterns typically dominate. Long-term averages and recent seasons show minimal rainfall during race weekend, supporting dry conditions that allow teams to optimize tire strategies and setup for outright pace on the high-speed Temple of Speed layout without wet-weather variables. With the event still over a week away, short-term forecast uncertainty exists, yet current models and historical precedents align with the 73% implied probability for no rain by emphasizing consistent dry trends over potential isolated afternoon showers.

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.

The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.

This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50.

Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify.

If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix taking place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The FIA Weather Report will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 14, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 14, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 27% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 27¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?" es 27% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 27% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de Italia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.