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icon for ¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?

¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?

icon for ¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?

¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?

27% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
27% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.**Hot, stable weather dominates the outlook for the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at Madrid’s new Madring circuit.** Forecasts for race day on September 13 show sunny skies, temperatures climbing to 31–33°C, and a 0% chance of precipitation across the weekend, with similar dry conditions expected through qualifying. Light winds and rising track temperatures will instead emphasize tire management, cooling, and setup choices on the hybrid street-road layout. Recent European rounds, including the preceding Monza event, have followed comparable late-summer patterns without disruption. With no meaningful rain signals in current models and the event less than 24 hours away, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of wet conditions altering the dry-running contest.

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.

This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50.

Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify.

If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Volumen
$35
Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.**Hot, stable weather dominates the outlook for the 2026 Spanish Grand Prix at Madrid’s new Madring circuit.** Forecasts for race day on September 13 show sunny skies, temperatures climbing to 31–33°C, and a 0% chance of precipitation across the weekend, with similar dry conditions expected through qualifying. Light winds and rising track temperatures will instead emphasize tire management, cooling, and setup choices on the hybrid street-road layout. Recent European rounds, including the preceding Monza event, have followed comparable late-summer patterns without disruption. With no meaningful rain signals in current models and the event less than 24 hours away, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of wet conditions altering the dry-running contest.

This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.

This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50.

Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify.

If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix taking place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after September 21, 2026, this market resolves 50-50. Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by September 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Volumen
$35
Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 14% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 14¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?" es 14% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 14% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Lloverá durante el Gran Premio de España?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.