Kimi Antonelli's commanding position in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship stems from his consistent race wins and points hauls in the Mercedes, building a roughly 50-point lead after 11 rounds with six victories and nine podiums. This performance has driven trader consensus toward his 74.6% implied probability, reflecting the car's pace advantage and his strong form through the season's first half. Lewis Hamilton, now at Ferrari, sits second in the standings but trails significantly despite one win and solid podium finishes, capping his chances near 10%. George Russell remains competitive within Mercedes yet lags his teammate by a similar margin. Other contenders like Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Charles Leclerc trail further due to machinery gaps or inconsistent results, with minimal recent shifts altering the hierarchy ahead of the post-summer-break schedule.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,066,171 Vol.
$201,066,171 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,066,171 Vol.
$201,066,171 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
6%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's commanding position in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship stems from his consistent race wins and points hauls in the Mercedes, building a roughly 50-point lead after 11 rounds with six victories and nine podiums. This performance has driven trader consensus toward his 74.6% implied probability, reflecting the car's pace advantage and his strong form through the season's first half. Lewis Hamilton, now at Ferrari, sits second in the standings but trails significantly despite one win and solid podium finishes, capping his chances near 10%. George Russell remains competitive within Mercedes yet lags his teammate by a similar margin. Other contenders like Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Charles Leclerc trail further due to machinery gaps or inconsistent results, with minimal recent shifts altering the hierarchy ahead of the post-summer-break schedule.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes