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icon for ¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?

¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?

icon for ¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?

¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?

6% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

6% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.**Little Joe the western lowland gorilla’s planned relocation from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo for a breeding program drives the strong market consensus against another escape.** After his single documented breakout more than two decades ago, the 33-year-old silverback has remained securely housed under accredited zoo standards with no further incidents. Traders view the meticulously coordinated transfer—expected in the coming months—as a low-risk event, especially since scheduled moves and veterinary procedures are explicitly excluded from resolution criteria. With the market closing July 31, 2026, the brief window further limits opportunities for any unplanned breach. While an unexpected lapse during acclimation at the new facility remains theoretically possible, industry protocols and the animal’s age make such an outcome highly improbable in the eyes of bettors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volumen
$1,246
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.**Little Joe the western lowland gorilla’s planned relocation from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to the Pittsburgh Zoo for a breeding program drives the strong market consensus against another escape.** After his single documented breakout more than two decades ago, the 33-year-old silverback has remained securely housed under accredited zoo standards with no further incidents. Traders view the meticulously coordinated transfer—expected in the coming months—as a low-risk event, especially since scheduled moves and veterinary procedures are explicitly excluded from resolution criteria. With the market closing July 31, 2026, the brief window further limits opportunities for any unplanned breach. While an unexpected lapse during acclimation at the new facility remains theoretically possible, industry protocols and the animal’s age make such an outcome highly improbable in the eyes of bettors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volumen
$1,246
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Escapará Little Joe de nuevo?" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 6¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 6% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?" es "¿Escapará Little Joe de nuevo?" con solo 6%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El Pequeño Joe escapará de nuevo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.