UAE officials explicitly ruled out further withdrawals from regional bodies including the GCC after announcing their OPEC exit in late April 2026, framing the decision as limited to energy coordination. Ongoing GCC coordination on security matters, including joint statements condemning Iranian actions in early 2026, has continued without disruption from the UAE. Bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen policy surfaced in late 2025 but produced no formal moves toward exit or dissolution, consistent with the bloc’s history of managing internal differences through consultation. Traders assign a 93% implied probability to the UAE remaining a member through 2026, reflecting the absence of any announced intent, procedural steps, or structural changes that would trigger departure.