The tight clustering of probabilities around 36–50% stems from broad parity among the nine CAF qualifiers and DR Congo, whose similar FIFA rankings, recent qualification campaigns, and mixed head-to-head records leave little separation. The 2026 draw assigned most sides challenging groups featuring strong non-African opponents, limiting any clear favorite for the weakest overall finish while raising the chance that one or two could underperform relative to expectations. With limited pre-tournament form data available and roster uncertainties persisting, traders see few decisive edges, sustaining the bunched pricing across Cape Verde, Congo DR, Egypt, and the other listed nations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCongo DR 47%
Tunisia 47%
South Africa 46%
Cape Verde 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
Algeria
35%
Cape Verde
46%
Congo DR
47%
Egypt
45%
Ghana
45%
Ivory Coast
43%
Morocco
35%
Senegal
38%
South Africa
46%
Tunisia
47%
Congo DR 47%
Tunisia 47%
South Africa 46%
Cape Verde 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
Algeria
$0 Vol.
35%
Cape Verde
$0 Vol.
46%
Congo DR
$0 Vol.
47%
Egypt
$0 Vol.
45%
Ghana
$0 Vol.
45%
Ivory Coast
$0 Vol.
43%
Morocco
$25 Vol.
35%
Senegal
$0 Vol.
38%
South Africa
$0 Vol.
46%
Tunisia
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around 36–50% stems from broad parity among the nine CAF qualifiers and DR Congo, whose similar FIFA rankings, recent qualification campaigns, and mixed head-to-head records leave little separation. The 2026 draw assigned most sides challenging groups featuring strong non-African opponents, limiting any clear favorite for the weakest overall finish while raising the chance that one or two could underperform relative to expectations. With limited pre-tournament form data available and roster uncertainties persisting, traders see few decisive edges, sustaining the bunched pricing across Cape Verde, Congo DR, Egypt, and the other listed nations.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around 36–50% stems from broad parity among the nine CAF qualifiers and DR Congo, whose similar FIFA rankings, recent qualification campaigns, and mixed head-to-head records leave little separation. The 2026 draw assigned most sides challenging groups featuring strong non-African opponents, limiting any clear favorite for the weakest overall finish while raising the chance that one or two could underperform relative to expectations. With limited pre-tournament form data available and roster uncertainties persisting, traders see few decisive edges, sustaining the bunched pricing across Cape Verde, Congo DR, Egypt, and the other listed nations.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities around 36–50% stems from broad parity among the nine CAF qualifiers and DR Congo, whose similar FIFA rankings, recent qualification campaigns, and mixed head-to-head records leave little separation. The 2026 draw assigned most sides challenging groups featuring strong non-African opponents, limiting any clear favorite for the weakest overall finish while raising the chance that one or two could underperform relative to expectations. With limited pre-tournament form data available and roster uncertainties persisting, traders see few decisive edges, sustaining the bunched pricing across Cape Verde, Congo DR, Egypt, and the other listed nations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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