Bayern Munich holds a 61.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for their Champions League quarterfinal second leg against Real Madrid at Allianz Arena, bolstered by a 2-1 first-leg victory at the Bernabéu where Harry Kane returned from ankle injury to score and Luis Díaz added another, exposing Real's vulnerabilities. Real Madrid, priced at 22%, contends with key absences including Thibaut Courtois (thigh, Lunin in goal), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), and Ferland Mendy (not fully fit), alongside yellow-card risks for players like Vinícius Júnior ahead of the aggregate decider. Bayern's home form and Kane's Golden Shoe-leading tally underpin the shift, while a 19.5% draw chance reflects tight historical head-to-heads despite the visitors' resilient attack.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich holds a 61.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for their Champions League quarterfinal second leg against Real Madrid at Allianz Arena, bolstered by a 2-1 first-leg victory at the Bernabéu where Harry Kane returned from ankle injury to score and Luis Díaz added another, exposing Real's vulnerabilities. Real Madrid, priced at 22%, contends with key absences including Thibaut Courtois (thigh, Lunin in goal), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), and Ferland Mendy (not fully fit), alongside yellow-card risks for players like Vinícius Júnior ahead of the aggregate decider. Bayern's home form and Kane's Golden Shoe-leading tally underpin the shift, while a 19.5% draw chance reflects tight historical head-to-heads despite the visitors' resilient attack.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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