Jannik Sinner’s position as defending champion and world No. 1, combined with Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury withdrawal, has driven his 57.5% implied probability by reshaping the draw on grass. Sinner, coming off an early French Open exit, has skipped warm-up events to prioritize recovery and mental reset ahead of the June 29 start. Novak Djokovic holds the next-best chance at 11.9% thanks to his proven grass-court mastery and lower physical demands of the surface, despite limited recent matches. Alexander Zverev, the 2026 French Open winner, sits at 7.1% as the strongest clay-to-grass transition candidate, while younger players like Jakub Menšík and Ben Shelton trail further back amid the veteran-heavy field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJannik Sinner 57%
Novak Djokovic 11.9%
Alexander Zverev 7.1%
Jakub Menšík 2.9%
$6,897,492 Vol.
$6,897,492 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
57%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Jakub Menšík
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Jannik Sinner 57%
Novak Djokovic 11.9%
Alexander Zverev 7.1%
Jakub Menšík 2.9%
$6,897,492 Vol.
$6,897,492 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
57%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Jakub Menšík
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Ben Shelton
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner’s position as defending champion and world No. 1, combined with Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury withdrawal, has driven his 57.5% implied probability by reshaping the draw on grass. Sinner, coming off an early French Open exit, has skipped warm-up events to prioritize recovery and mental reset ahead of the June 29 start. Novak Djokovic holds the next-best chance at 11.9% thanks to his proven grass-court mastery and lower physical demands of the surface, despite limited recent matches. Alexander Zverev, the 2026 French Open winner, sits at 7.1% as the strongest clay-to-grass transition candidate, while younger players like Jakub Menšík and Ben Shelton trail further back amid the veteran-heavy field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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