Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position at 58.5% implied probability, driven primarily by Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the draw with a wrist injury that reshaped the field ahead of the June 29 start. Sinner enters as the dominant world No. 1 with multiple Masters 1000 titles this season, though his second-round exit at Roland Garros and subsequent elbow concerns have prompted medical checks and a decision to skip pre-Wimbledon grass events. Novak Djokovic at 12.4% benefits from his unmatched grass-court pedigree and recent Australian Open final appearance despite turning 39, while the rest of the field trails as Zverev and emerging talents lack comparable recent momentum or historical success on the surface.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 12.4%
Alexander Zverev 7.6%
Jakub Menšík 3.0%
$6,220,722 Vol.
$6,220,722 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Jakub Menšík
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Ben Shelton
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Jannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 12.4%
Alexander Zverev 7.6%
Jakub Menšík 3.0%
$6,220,722 Vol.
$6,220,722 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
Jannik Sinner
$91,055 Vol.
59%
Novak Djokovic
$1,306,266 Vol.
12%
Alexander Zverev
$612,965 Vol.
8%
Jakub Menšík
$133,250 Vol.
3%
Daniil Medvedev
$112,018 Vol.
2%
Ben Shelton
$144,865 Vol.
2%
Taylor Fritz
$190,217 Vol.
2%
João Fonseca
$838,057 Vol.
2%
Jack Draper
$87,260 Vol.
1%
Alexander Bublik
$132,933 Vol.
1%
Flavio Cobolli
$63,496 Vol.
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
$48,439 Vol.
1%
Andrey Rublev
$282,977 Vol.
1%
Matteo Berrettini
$77,863 Vol.
1%
Alex de Minaur
$70,228 Vol.
1%
Jiří Lehečka
$50,428 Vol.
1%
Tommy Paul
$48,420 Vol.
1%
Arthur Fils
$167,982 Vol.
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
$42,088 Vol.
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
$176,060 Vol.
<1%
Casper Ruud
$72,892 Vol.
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
$79,973 Vol.
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
$51,862 Vol.
<1%
Ugo Humbert
$76,220 Vol.
<1%
Karen Khachanov
$100,606 Vol.
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
$41,730 Vol.
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
$66,800 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Korda
$50,543 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Norrie
$46,714 Vol.
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
$41,238 Vol.
<1%
Marin Čilić
$46,491 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
$103,570 Vol.
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
$185,660 Vol.
<1%
Alex Michelsen
$115,967 Vol.
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
$43,904 Vol.
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
$59,132 Vol.
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
$169,433 Vol.
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
$48,509 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
$28,997 Vol.
<1%
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position at 58.5% implied probability, driven primarily by Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the draw with a wrist injury that reshaped the field ahead of the June 29 start. Sinner enters as the dominant world No. 1 with multiple Masters 1000 titles this season, though his second-round exit at Roland Garros and subsequent elbow concerns have prompted medical checks and a decision to skip pre-Wimbledon grass events. Novak Djokovic at 12.4% benefits from his unmatched grass-court pedigree and recent Australian Open final appearance despite turning 39, while the rest of the field trails as Zverev and emerging talents lack comparable recent momentum or historical success on the surface.
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$6,220,722End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position at 58.5% implied probability, driven primarily by Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the draw with a wrist injury that reshaped the field ahead of the June 29 start. Sinner enters as the dominant world No. 1 with multiple Masters 1000 titles this season, though his second-round exit at Roland Garros and subsequent elbow concerns have prompted medical checks and a decision to skip pre-Wimbledon grass events. Novak Djokovic at 12.4% benefits from his unmatched grass-court pedigree and recent Australian Open final appearance despite turning 39, while the rest of the field trails as Zverev and emerging talents lack comparable recent momentum or historical success on the surface.
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,220,722End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position at 58.5% implied probability, driven primarily by Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from the draw with a wrist injury that reshaped the field ahead of the June 29 start. Sinner enters as the dominant world No. 1 with multiple Masters 1000 titles this season, though his second-round exit at Roland Garros and subsequent elbow concerns have prompted medical checks and a decision to skip pre-Wimbledon grass events. Novak Djokovic at 12.4% benefits from his unmatched grass-court pedigree and recent Australian Open final appearance despite turning 39, while the rest of the field trails as Zverev and emerging talents lack comparable recent momentum or historical success on the surface.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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