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icon for 2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall

2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall

icon for 2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall

2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall

Vahn Lackey 99.5%

Tegan Kuhns 8%

Cole Carlon 8%

Landon Thome 8%

Polymarket

$8,738 Vol.

Vahn Lackey 99.5%

Tegan Kuhns 8%

Cole Carlon 8%

Landon Thome 8%

Polymarket

$8,738 Vol.

Grady Emerson

$69 Vol.

No

Roch Cholowsky

$188 Vol.

No

Vahn Lackey

$679 Vol.

Yes

Jackson Flora

$154 Vol.

No

Jacob Lombard

$60 Vol.

No

Eric Booth Jr.

$193 Vol.

No

Drew Burress

$112 Vol.

No

Gio Rojas

$193 Vol.

No

Justin Lebron

$313 Vol.

No

Tyler Bell

$193 Vol.

No

Ryder Helfrick

$313 Vol.

No

Derek Curiel

$193 Vol.

No

Trevor Condon

$213 Vol.

No

Chris Hacopian

$313 Vol.

No

Cameron Flukey

$213 Vol.

No

Jared Grindlinger

$60 Vol.

No

Hunter Dietz

$313 Vol.

No

Ace Reese

$313 Vol.

No

AJ Gracia

$193 Vol.

No

Liam Peterson

$203 Vol.

No

Bo Lowrance

$60 Vol.

No

Sawyer Strosnider

$336 Vol.

No

Brody Bumila

$313 Vol.

No

Carson Bolemon

$60 Vol.

No

Tegan Kuhns

$60 Vol.

No

Cole Carlon

$60 Vol.

No

Cole Prosek

$60 Vol.

No

Daniel Jackson

$60 Vol.

No

Aiden Robbins

$193 Vol.

No

Zion Rose

$216 Vol.

No

Logan Reddemann

$313 Vol.

No

Aiden Ruiz

$60 Vol.

No

Caden Sorrell

$193 Vol.

No

Landon Thome

$60 Vol.

No

Cade Townsend

$193 Vol.

No

Mason Edwards

$60 Vol.

No

Taj Marchand

$60 Vol.

No

Gavin Grahovac

$60 Vol.

No

James Clark

$60 Vol.

No

Taylor Rabe

$60 Vol.

No

Eric Becker

$193 Vol.

No

Logan Hughes

$60 Vol.

No

Coleman Borthwick

$193 Vol.

No

Jack Radel

$60 Vol.

No

Logan Schmidt

$60 Vol.

No

Will Brick

$60 Vol.

No

Chris Rembert

$313 Vol.

No

Jarren Advincula

$60 Vol.

No

Rocco Maniscalco

$60 Vol.

No

Chase Brunson

$60 Vol.

No

Wes Mendes

$60 Vol.

No

Andrew Williamson

$60 Vol.

No

Tyler Spangler

$60 Vol.

No

Archer Horn

$60 Vol.

No

Connor Comeau

$60 Vol.

No

Jensen Hirschkorn

$60 Vol.

No

Kaden Waechter

$60 Vol.

No

Ben Blair

$60 Vol.

No

Jake Brown

$60 Vol.

No

Ty Head

$60 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Draft class features a tight cluster of consensus top talents with no dominant standout, keeping the third-overall selection highly fluid heading into the July 11 proceedings in Philadelphia. Grady Emerson, Roch Cholowsky, and Vahn Lackey sit atop nearly every recent big board as elite shortstops and catcher with premium hit tools, defensive actions, and projectable power, while Jackson Flora and Jacob Lombard round out the next tier with front-line arm or positional upside. Team-specific preferences for the Chicago White Sox (No. 1), Tampa Bay Rays (No. 2), and Minnesota Twins (No. 3) add further variance, as recent mocks show those clubs weighing college polish against high-school athleticism and positional value differently. Late-spring performances, scouting updates, and minor ranking shifts have produced no decisive separation, sustaining broad trader uncertainty and the heavy weighting on “Other” alongside the bunched field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,738
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Draft class features a tight cluster of consensus top talents with no dominant standout, keeping the third-overall selection highly fluid heading into the July 11 proceedings in Philadelphia. Grady Emerson, Roch Cholowsky, and Vahn Lackey sit atop nearly every recent big board as elite shortstops and catcher with premium hit tools, defensive actions, and projectable power, while Jackson Flora and Jacob Lombard round out the next tier with front-line arm or positional upside. Team-specific preferences for the Chicago White Sox (No. 1), Tampa Bay Rays (No. 2), and Minnesota Twins (No. 3) add further variance, as recent mocks show those clubs weighing college polish against high-school athleticism and positional value differently. Late-spring performances, scouting updates, and minor ranking shifts have produced no decisive separation, sustaining broad trader uncertainty and the heavy weighting on “Other” alongside the bunched field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,738
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted third overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 60+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vahn Lackey" at 100%, followed by "Grady Emerson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall," browse the 60+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall" is "Vahn Lackey" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grady Emerson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 3rd Overall" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.