Kansas City Chiefs' selection of LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier at No. 249 overall in the seventh round of the 2026 NFL Draft—announced just hours ago—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official outcome as the draft concluded Saturday in Detroit. The former Tigers starter, projected as a mid-round talent pre-draft but hampered by a slide linked to inconsistent arm strength, accuracy concerns, and a deep QB class, bolsters Kansas City's depth behind Patrick Mahomes amid reports of Justin Fields joining the room. With no trades or waivers altering rookie assignments standard in NFL practice, residual 0.1% probabilities on other teams represent negligible liquidity rather than viable challenges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKansas City Chiefs 100.0%
Cincinnati Bengals <1%
Denver Broncos <1%
Detroit Lions <1%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals
No
Denver Broncos
No
Detroit Lions
No
Houston Texans
No
Jacksonville Jaguars
No
Las Vegas Raiders
No
Los Angeles Chargers
No
Miami Dolphins
No
Minnesota Vikings
No
New Orleans Saints
No
New York Jets
No
San Francisco 49ers
No
Carolina Panthers
No
Cleveland Browns
No
Green Bay Packers
No
Indianapolis Colts
No
Kansas City Chiefs
Yes
New York Giants
No
Tennessee Titans
No
Arizona Cardinals
No
Buffalo Bills
No
Los Angeles Rams
No
Philadelphia Eagles
No
Seattle Seahawks
No
Washington Commanders
No
Atlanta Falcons
No
Baltimore Ravens
No
Chicago Bears
No
Dallas Cowboys
No
New England Patriots
No
Pittsburgh Steelers
No
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No
Kansas City Chiefs 100.0%
Cincinnati Bengals <1%
Denver Broncos <1%
Detroit Lions <1%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals
$24 Vol.
No
Denver Broncos
$24 Vol.
No
Detroit Lions
$24 Vol.
No
Houston Texans
$39 Vol.
No
Jacksonville Jaguars
$39 Vol.
No
Las Vegas Raiders
$24 Vol.
No
Los Angeles Chargers
$24 Vol.
No
Miami Dolphins
$24 Vol.
No
Minnesota Vikings
$24 Vol.
No
New Orleans Saints
$24 Vol.
No
New York Jets
$5 Vol.
No
San Francisco 49ers
$24 Vol.
No
Carolina Panthers
$24 Vol.
No
Cleveland Browns
$24 Vol.
No
Green Bay Packers
$24 Vol.
No
Indianapolis Colts
$24 Vol.
No
Kansas City Chiefs
$131 Vol.
Yes
New York Giants
$24 Vol.
No
Tennessee Titans
$24 Vol.
No
Arizona Cardinals
$24 Vol.
No
Buffalo Bills
$24 Vol.
No
Los Angeles Rams
$5 Vol.
No
Philadelphia Eagles
$39 Vol.
No
Seattle Seahawks
$39 Vol.
No
Washington Commanders
$39 Vol.
No
Atlanta Falcons
$39 Vol.
No
Baltimore Ravens
$39 Vol.
No
Chicago Bears
$39 Vol.
No
Dallas Cowboys
$24 Vol.
No
New England Patriots
$39 Vol.
No
Pittsburgh Steelers
$5 Vol.
No
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$24 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the team that selects Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 NFL draft.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas City Chiefs' selection of LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier at No. 249 overall in the seventh round of the 2026 NFL Draft—announced just hours ago—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official outcome as the draft concluded Saturday in Detroit. The former Tigers starter, projected as a mid-round talent pre-draft but hampered by a slide linked to inconsistent arm strength, accuracy concerns, and a deep QB class, bolsters Kansas City's depth behind Patrick Mahomes amid reports of Justin Fields joining the room. With no trades or waivers altering rookie assignments standard in NFL practice, residual 0.1% probabilities on other teams represent negligible liquidity rather than viable challenges.
This market will resolve according to the team that selects Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 NFL draft.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$953End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the team that selects Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 NFL draft.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kansas City Chiefs' selection of LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier at No. 249 overall in the seventh round of the 2026 NFL Draft—announced just hours ago—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official outcome as the draft concluded Saturday in Detroit. The former Tigers starter, projected as a mid-round talent pre-draft but hampered by a slide linked to inconsistent arm strength, accuracy concerns, and a deep QB class, bolsters Kansas City's depth behind Patrick Mahomes amid reports of Justin Fields joining the room. With no trades or waivers altering rookie assignments standard in NFL practice, residual 0.1% probabilities on other teams represent negligible liquidity rather than viable challenges.
This market will resolve according to the team that selects Garrett Nussmeier in the 2026 NFL draft.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Garrett Nussmeier is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$953End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kansas City Chiefs' selection of LSU quarterback Garrett Nussmeier at No. 249 overall in the seventh round of the 2026 NFL Draft—announced just hours ago—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official outcome as the draft concluded Saturday in Detroit. The former Tigers starter, projected as a mid-round talent pre-draft but hampered by a slide linked to inconsistent arm strength, accuracy concerns, and a deep QB class, bolsters Kansas City's depth behind Patrick Mahomes amid reports of Justin Fields joining the room. With no trades or waivers altering rookie assignments standard in NFL practice, residual 0.1% probabilities on other teams represent negligible liquidity rather than viable challenges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions