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PGA TOUR Championship: Winner

Market icon

PGA TOUR Championship: Winner

Scottie Scheffler 36%

Rory McIlroy 33%

Cameron Young 29%

Adam Scott 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler 36%

Rory McIlroy 33%

Cameron Young 29%

Adam Scott 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

36%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

33%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

29%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

25%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

24%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

24%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

24%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

24%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

24%

Nicolai Højgaard

$0 Vol.

24%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

24%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

24%

Sudarshan Yellamaraju

$0 Vol.

24%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

24%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

24%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

24%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

24%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

24%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

23%

J.J. Spaun

$69 Vol.

23%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

23%

Nico Echavarria

$0 Vol.

23%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

23%

Sahith Theegala

$0 Vol.

23%

Ludvig Åberg

$132 Vol.

22%

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

22%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

22%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

21%

Ryo Hisatsune

$0 Vol.

20%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus prices Sam Burns, Ryan Gerard, and Sepp Straka atop the TOUR Championship winner market due to their consistent top-10 finishes and strong strokes gained metrics through the Masters, where McIlroy's victory and Scheffler's runner-up tightened the FedExCup top 10 around leaders like Jacob Bridgeman, Akshay Bhatia, and Chris Gotterup. With the season's remaining signature events and playoffs ahead, parity in points—minimal gaps among the projected top 30—keeps probabilities bunched in the 40-44% range, as no player holds a runaway lead in pure stroke play format at East Lake. Breakout form from Ryo Hisatsune and J.J. Spaun further underscores the competitive field dynamics over established stars like Scheffler.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$201
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus prices Sam Burns, Ryan Gerard, and Sepp Straka atop the TOUR Championship winner market due to their consistent top-10 finishes and strong strokes gained metrics through the Masters, where McIlroy's victory and Scheffler's runner-up tightened the FedExCup top 10 around leaders like Jacob Bridgeman, Akshay Bhatia, and Chris Gotterup. With the season's remaining signature events and playoffs ahead, parity in points—minimal gaps among the projected top 30—keeps probabilities bunched in the 40-44% range, as no player holds a runaway lead in pure stroke play format at East Lake. Breakout form from Ryo Hisatsune and J.J. Spaun further underscores the competitive field dynamics over established stars like Scheffler.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$201
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 36%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA TOUR Championship: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.