Trader consensus prices Sam Burns, Ryan Gerard, and Sepp Straka atop the TOUR Championship winner market due to their consistent top-10 finishes and strong strokes gained metrics through the Masters, where McIlroy's victory and Scheffler's runner-up tightened the FedExCup top 10 around leaders like Jacob Bridgeman, Akshay Bhatia, and Chris Gotterup. With the season's remaining signature events and playoffs ahead, parity in points—minimal gaps among the projected top 30—keeps probabilities bunched in the 40-44% range, as no player holds a runaway lead in pure stroke play format at East Lake. Breakout form from Ryo Hisatsune and J.J. Spaun further underscores the competitive field dynamics over established stars like Scheffler.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 36%
Rory McIlroy 33%
Cameron Young 29%
Adam Scott 25%
Scottie Scheffler
36%
Rory McIlroy
33%
Cameron Young
29%
Adam Scott
25%
Justin Rose
24%
Matt Fitzpatrick
24%
Tommy Fleetwood
24%
Chris Gotterup
24%
Xander Schauffele
24%
Nicolai Højgaard
24%
Jacob Bridgeman
24%
Akshay Bhatia
24%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
24%
Min Woo Lee
24%
Hideki Matsuyama
24%
Sepp Straka
24%
Ryan Gerard
24%
Robert MacIntyre
24%
Collin Morikawa
23%
J.J. Spaun
23%
Jake Knapp
23%
Nico Echavarria
23%
Sam Burns
23%
Sahith Theegala
23%
Ludvig Åberg
22%
Daniel Berger
22%
Gary Woodland
22%
Si Woo Kim
21%
Ryo Hisatsune
20%
Russell Henley
13%
Scottie Scheffler 36%
Rory McIlroy 33%
Cameron Young 29%
Adam Scott 25%
Scottie Scheffler
36%
Rory McIlroy
33%
Cameron Young
29%
Adam Scott
25%
Justin Rose
24%
Matt Fitzpatrick
24%
Tommy Fleetwood
24%
Chris Gotterup
24%
Xander Schauffele
24%
Nicolai Højgaard
24%
Jacob Bridgeman
24%
Akshay Bhatia
24%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
24%
Min Woo Lee
24%
Hideki Matsuyama
24%
Sepp Straka
24%
Ryan Gerard
24%
Robert MacIntyre
24%
Collin Morikawa
23%
J.J. Spaun
23%
Jake Knapp
23%
Nico Echavarria
23%
Sam Burns
23%
Sahith Theegala
23%
Ludvig Åberg
22%
Daniel Berger
22%
Gary Woodland
22%
Si Woo Kim
21%
Ryo Hisatsune
20%
Russell Henley
13%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Sam Burns, Ryan Gerard, and Sepp Straka atop the TOUR Championship winner market due to their consistent top-10 finishes and strong strokes gained metrics through the Masters, where McIlroy's victory and Scheffler's runner-up tightened the FedExCup top 10 around leaders like Jacob Bridgeman, Akshay Bhatia, and Chris Gotterup. With the season's remaining signature events and playoffs ahead, parity in points—minimal gaps among the projected top 30—keeps probabilities bunched in the 40-44% range, as no player holds a runaway lead in pure stroke play format at East Lake. Breakout form from Ryo Hisatsune and J.J. Spaun further underscores the competitive field dynamics over established stars like Scheffler.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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