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Sports·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader
Sports·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

Wyndham Clark 100.0%

Alex Noren <1%

Patrick Reed <1%

Sam Burns <1%

Polymarket

$35,233 Vol.

Wyndham Clark 100.0%

Alex Noren <1%

Patrick Reed <1%

Sam Burns <1%

Polymarket

$35,233 Vol.

Alex Noren

$468 Vol.

No

Patrick Reed

$808 Vol.

No

Sam Burns

$486 Vol.

No

Kurt Kitayama

$506 Vol.

No

Alex Smalley

$340 Vol.

No

Jordan Spieth

$372 Vol.

No

Dustin Johnson

$1,127 Vol.

No

Wyndham Clark

$2,854 Vol.

Yes

J.T. Poston

$379 Vol.

No

Nicolai Højgaard

$433 Vol.

No

Shane Lowry

$379 Vol.

No

Gary Woodland

$390 Vol.

No

Justin Thomas

$648 Vol.

No

Cameron Young

$533 Vol.

No

Matt Fitzpatrick

$605 Vol.

No

Xander Schauffele

$2,644 Vol.

No

Akshay Bhatia

$372 Vol.

No

Scottie Scheffler

$665 Vol.

No

Ludvig Åberg

$670 Vol.

No

Robert MacIntyre

$607 Vol.

No

Sepp Straka

$403 Vol.

No

Tyrrell Hatton

$413 Vol.

No

Hideki Matsuyama

$383 Vol.

No

Viktor Hovland

$451 Vol.

No

Bryson DeChambeau

$333 Vol.

No

Min Woo Lee

$380 Vol.

No

Maverick McNealy

$676 Vol.

No

Keegan Bradley

$360 Vol.

No

Bud Cauley

$350 Vol.

No

Jake Knapp

$546 Vol.

No

Adam Scott

$713 Vol.

No

Carlos Ortiz

$375 Vol.

No

David Puig

$434 Vol.

No

Laurie Canter

$386 Vol.

No

Kristoffer Reitan

$414 Vol.

No

Patrick Cantlay

$383 Vol.

No

Joaquin Niemann

$690 Vol.

No

Rory McIlroy

$410 Vol.

No

Tommy Fleetwood

$527 Vol.

No

Jon Rahm

$2,048 Vol.

No

Aaron Rai

$722 Vol.

No

Russell Henley

$610 Vol.

No

Chris Gotterup

$780 Vol.

No

Ryan Gerard

$300 Vol.

No

Justin Rose

$590 Vol.

No

Collin Morikawa

$433 Vol.

No

Si Woo Kim

$355 Vol.

No

Harris English

$444 Vol.

No

Rickie Fowler

$586 Vol.

No

Lucas Herbert

$437 Vol.

No

J.J. Spaun

$994 Vol.

No

Ben Griffin

$435 Vol.

No

Jacob Bridgeman

$413 Vol.

No

Daniel Berger

$515 Vol.

No

Jason Day

$626 Vol.

No

Michael Kim

$341 Vol.

No

Cameron Smith

$690 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a bunched first-round leader market because the 156-player field enters with balanced recent form, course-specific skills, and no dominant early-round favorite. Widened fairways reward accuracy from players like Russell Henley and Tyrrell Hatton, while variable winds and firm greens at the historic venue historically produce scattered low scores rather than one standout. Recent wins and strong strokes-gained putting or approach numbers for names such as Sam Burns, Si Woo Kim, and Patrick Reed offset the overall favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, whose major-winning pedigree matters more over 72 holes. With Round 1 groups already underway and scoring conditions unpredictable, trader consensus reflects a genuinely open race where dozens of contenders share realistic paths to the lowest Thursday total.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$35,233
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a bunched first-round leader market because the 156-player field enters with balanced recent form, course-specific skills, and no dominant early-round favorite. Widened fairways reward accuracy from players like Russell Henley and Tyrrell Hatton, while variable winds and firm greens at the historic venue historically produce scattered low scores rather than one standout. Recent wins and strong strokes-gained putting or approach numbers for names such as Sam Burns, Si Woo Kim, and Patrick Reed offset the overall favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, whose major-winning pedigree matters more over 72 holes. With Round 1 groups already underway and scoring conditions unpredictable, trader consensus reflects a genuinely open race where dozens of contenders share realistic paths to the lowest Thursday total.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$35,233
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wyndham Clark" at 100%, followed by "Alex Noren" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" has generated $35.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" is "Wyndham Clark" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Noren" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.