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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 23%

Iga Swiatek 11%

Coco Gauff 9.3%

Elena Rybakina 9.3%

Polymarket

$5,727,422 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 23%

Iga Swiatek 11%

Coco Gauff 9.3%

Elena Rybakina 9.3%

Polymarket

$5,727,422 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$14,160 Vol.

23%

Iga Swiatek

$10,816 Vol.

11%

Coco Gauff

$18,916 Vol.

9%

Elena Rybakina

$74,625 Vol.

9%

Mirra Andreeva

$26,221 Vol.

7%

Naomi Osaka

$10,959 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$99,250 Vol.

5%

Karolina Muchova

$17,660 Vol.

4%

Amanda Anisimova

$58,376 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$12,131 Vol.

4%

Elina Svitolina

$7,775 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$7,553 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Eala

$254,191 Vol.

2%

Victoria Mboko

$6,434 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$522,217 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$44,918 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$9,504 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$30,424 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$226,349 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$26,933 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$27,337 Vol.

1%

Clara Tauson

$8,005 Vol.

1%

Donna Vekic

$126,272 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$21,439 Vol.

1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$6,787 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$421,404 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$14,377 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$44,967 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$15,500 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$543,497 Vol.

<1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$19,863 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$22,987 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$8,744 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,662,855 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$180,943 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$7,646 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$31,630 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,023,559 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$26,666 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$33,532 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 Women’s US Open winner market on the back of a dominant hard-court season, including three titles and a 31-4 record that reflects superior baseline power and serve consistency on the surface. Recent results show her edging past early clay inconsistencies after a Roland Garros quarterfinal exit, while Iga Swiatek’s fourth-round loss there and title drought have tempered expectations despite her strong overall ranking. Elena Rybakina sits third after claiming the Australian Open title and posting steady results across surfaces, highlighting the depth among contenders. Coco Gauff, Mirra Andreeva, and Amanda Anisimova round out the next tier with varying hard-court experience and recent form, but the broad field underscores how injuries, draw positioning, and late-summer momentum can shift outcomes on the fast New York courts. Trader consensus captures this balance of proven hard-court track records against emerging volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,727,422
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 Women’s US Open winner market on the back of a dominant hard-court season, including three titles and a 31-4 record that reflects superior baseline power and serve consistency on the surface. Recent results show her edging past early clay inconsistencies after a Roland Garros quarterfinal exit, while Iga Swiatek’s fourth-round loss there and title drought have tempered expectations despite her strong overall ranking. Elena Rybakina sits third after claiming the Australian Open title and posting steady results across surfaces, highlighting the depth among contenders. Coco Gauff, Mirra Andreeva, and Amanda Anisimova round out the next tier with varying hard-court experience and recent form, but the broad field underscores how injuries, draw positioning, and late-summer momentum can shift outcomes on the fast New York courts. Trader consensus captures this balance of proven hard-court track records against emerging volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,727,422
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 23%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $5.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.