Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·US Open

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·US Open

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Elena Rybakina 100.0%

Aryna Sabalenka <1%

Iga Swiatek <1%

Coco Gauff <1%

Polymarket

$11,443,411 Vol.

Elena Rybakina 100.0%

Aryna Sabalenka <1%

Iga Swiatek <1%

Coco Gauff <1%

Polymarket

$11,443,411 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$599,229 Vol.

No

Iga Swiatek

$138,180 Vol.

No

Coco Gauff

$356,817 Vol.

No

Mirra Andreeva

$301,301 Vol.

No

Elena Rybakina

$785,070 Vol.

Yes

Amanda Anisimova

$160,707 Vol.

No

Naomi Osaka

$130,664 Vol.

No

Qinwen Zheng

$710,543 Vol.

No

Madison Keys

$92,923 Vol.

No

Jessica Pegula

$343,099 Vol.

No

Barbora Krejcikova

$574,858 Vol.

No

Karolina Muchova

$128,575 Vol.

No

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

No

Victoria Mboko

$54,940 Vol.

No

Emma Navarro

$182,312 Vol.

No

Clara Tauson

$41,649 Vol.

No

Belinda Bencic

$100,917 Vol.

No

Emma Raducanu

$78,997 Vol.

No

Linda Noskova

$170,726 Vol.

No

Jasmine Paolini

$86,269 Vol.

No

Paula Badosa

$60,668 Vol.

No

Maya Joint

$76,168 Vol.

No

Diana Shnaider

$126,842 Vol.

No

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$88,364 Vol.

No

Jelena Ostapenko

$51,762 Vol.

No

Daria Kasatkina

$23,217 Vol.

No

Elina Svitolina

$103,353 Vol.

No

Tereza Valentova

$580,969 Vol.

No

Anastasia Potapova

$538,976 Vol.

No

Donna Vekic

$176,340 Vol.

No

Dayana Yastremska

$43,392 Vol.

No

Liudmila Samsonova

$53,789 Vol.

No

Xiyu Wang

$1,061,645 Vol.

No

Ashlyn Krueger

$59,558 Vol.

No

Marie Bouzkova

$95,768 Vol.

No

Alexandra Eala

$400,416 Vol.

No

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$40,239 Vol.

No

Elise Mertens

$106,949 Vol.

No

Sofia Kenin

$259,421 Vol.

No

Katie Boulter

$1,713,667 Vol.

No

Marta Kostyuk

$82,270 Vol.

No

Iva Jovic

$98,865 Vol.

No

Sorana Cirstea

$68,583 Vol.

No

Maja Chwalinska

$1,028 Vol.

No

Anna Kalinskaya

$89,438 Vol.

No

Sara Bejlek

$1,028 Vol.

No

Ann Li

$42,538 Vol.

No

Leylah Fernandez

$47,507 Vol.

No

Maria Sakkari

$44,027 Vol.

No

Diane Parry

$18,407 Vol.

No

Nadia Podoroska

$7,729 Vol.

No

Janice Tjen

$1,000 Vol.

No

Cristina Bucsa

$0 Vol.

No

Magdalena Frech

$1,000 Vol.

No

Katerina Siniakova

$7,200 Vol.

No

Daria Snigur

$0 Vol.

No

Lilli Tagger

$44,990 Vol.

No

Zeynep Sonmez

$1,000 Vol.

No

Peyton Stearns

$729 Vol.

No

Viktorija Golubic

$0 Vol.

No

Camila Osorio

$0 Vol.

No

Caty McNally

$1,000 Vol.

No

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

$729 Vol.

No

Magda Linette

$1,000 Vol.

No

Sloane Stephens

$30,047 Vol.

No

Taylor Townsend

$94,520 Vol.

No

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elena Rybakina captured the 2026 US Open women's singles title by defeating Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 in the final at Arthur Ashe Stadium, securing her third major championship and the world No. 1 ranking for the first time. Traders priced the market at near-certainty for Rybakina because she entered the final as the top seed or co-favorite with strong recent hard-court form, including an Australian Open victory over the same opponent earlier in the year, superior serving and return consistency in key moments, and a direct path that eliminated top competition en route. Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion and pre-tournament No. 1, showed vulnerability under pressure with unforced errors and an inability to maintain momentum after taking the second set. With the final completed and official results confirmed, resolution hinges solely on the tournament outcome; only an unprecedented post-match ruling or disqualification could alter the result at this stage.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,443,411
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elena Rybakina captured the 2026 US Open women's singles title by defeating Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 in the final at Arthur Ashe Stadium, securing her third major championship and the world No. 1 ranking for the first time. Traders priced the market at near-certainty for Rybakina because she entered the final as the top seed or co-favorite with strong recent hard-court form, including an Australian Open victory over the same opponent earlier in the year, superior serving and return consistency in key moments, and a direct path that eliminated top competition en route. Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion and pre-tournament No. 1, showed vulnerability under pressure with unforced errors and an inability to maintain momentum after taking the second set. With the final completed and official results confirmed, resolution hinges solely on the tournament outcome; only an unprecedented post-match ruling or disqualification could alter the result at this stage.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,443,411
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

59%
icon for Will an American player win the 2026 US Open?

Will an American player win the 2026 US Open?

42%
icon for Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals?

Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals?

85%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 100%, followed by "Aryna Sabalenka" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $11.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Elena Rybakina" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.