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icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

Atlanta Hawks 21%

Boston Celtics 21%

Charlotte Hornets 21%

Cleveland Cavaliers 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Atlanta Hawks 21%

Boston Celtics 21%

Charlotte Hornets 21%

Cleveland Cavaliers 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

21%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

21%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

21%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

21%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

21%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

21%

Indiana Pacers

$0 Vol.

21%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

21%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

21%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

21%

New Orleans Pelicans

$0 Vol.

21%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

21%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

21%

Sacramento Kings

$0 Vol.

21%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

21%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

21%

Utah Jazz

$0 Vol.

21%

Washington Wizards

$0 Vol.

21%

Milwaukee Bucks

$54 Vol.

14%

Golden State Warriors

$36 Vol.

13%

Memphis Grizzlies

$18 Vol.

13%

Dallas Mavericks

$90 Vol.

11%

Houston Rockets

$18 Vol.

12%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$18 Vol.

11%

Philadelphia 76ers

$18 Vol.

11%

Los Angeles Clippers

$18 Vol.

11%

Orlando Magic

$36 Vol.

11%

Brooklyn Nets

$160 Vol.

4%

Chicago Bulls

$18 Vol.

3%

Phoenix Suns

$18 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NBA season still weeks from tip-off, no team records exist to set the 2027 draft lottery odds, leaving implied probabilities for the top pick tightly clustered among several clubs. Trader consensus reflects broad uncertainty over which franchises will post the worst records, factoring in roster turnover, coaching changes, and load-management strategies that could influence late-season tanking. Teams like the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors carry modestly elevated probabilities around 13 percent due to aging cores and potential performance dips, while perennial contenders such as the Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers sit near 10.5 percent on stronger projected depth. This preseason equilibrium underscores how minor shifts in injuries, trades, or early results could rapidly reshape the field before the lottery odds lock in based on final standings.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$502
End Date
Jun 2, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NBA season still weeks from tip-off, no team records exist to set the 2027 draft lottery odds, leaving implied probabilities for the top pick tightly clustered among several clubs. Trader consensus reflects broad uncertainty over which franchises will post the worst records, factoring in roster turnover, coaching changes, and load-management strategies that could influence late-season tanking. Teams like the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors carry modestly elevated probabilities around 13 percent due to aging cores and potential performance dips, while perennial contenders such as the Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers sit near 10.5 percent on stronger projected depth. This preseason equilibrium underscores how minor shifts in injuries, trades, or early results could rapidly reshape the field before the lottery odds lock in based on final standings.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$502
End Date
Jun 2, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Milwaukee Bucks" at 14%, followed by "Golden State Warriors" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is "Milwaukee Bucks" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Golden State Warriors" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.