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icon for 3M Open: Hole-in-One?
Sports·PGA

3M Open: Hole-in-One?

icon for 3M Open: Hole-in-One?
Sports·PGA

3M Open: Hole-in-One?

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.The 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities features several longer par-3s amid a 7,431-yard, par-71 layout with water in play on 15 holes, which elevates the difficulty of precise iron approaches needed for aces. Recent tournament history shows sporadic holes-in-one, including Thorbjørn Olesen’s on the eighth hole in 2025, but the current setup and variable wind conditions reduce the frequency of ideal trajectories. With a strong field emphasizing accuracy over raw distance, the implied probability favoring no hole-in-one reflects the narrow margin for the required combination of distance control, pin placement, and execution across four rounds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 26, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.The 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities features several longer par-3s amid a 7,431-yard, par-71 layout with water in play on 15 holes, which elevates the difficulty of precise iron approaches needed for aces. Recent tournament history shows sporadic holes-in-one, including Thorbjørn Olesen’s on the eighth hole in 2025, but the current setup and variable wind conditions reduce the frequency of ideal trajectories. With a strong field emphasizing accuracy over raw distance, the implied probability favoring no hole-in-one reflects the narrow margin for the required combination of distance control, pin placement, and execution across four rounds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 26, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3M Open: Hole-in-One?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 37% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 37¢, the market collectively assigns a 37% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3M Open: Hole-in-One?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3M Open: Hole-in-One?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "3M Open: Hole-in-One?" is 37% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 37% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "3M Open: Hole-in-One?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.