Chapecoense's dominant 100% implied probability stems from their 2-0 victory over Botafogo in the Copa do Brasil round-of-16 second leg at Arena Condá on May 14, overturning a 1-0 first-leg deficit on aggregate. Marcinho's stunning 20th-minute strike and Yannick Bolasie's stoppage-time goal before halftime sealed the win, as Chapecoense leveraged home advantage, solid defending, and clinical finishing against a rotated Botafogo lineup that rested Danilo Barbosa and struggled with poor conversion despite early chances. Botafogo's recent fixture congestion and subpar away form in knockouts contributed to the collapse. With the 90-minute result confirmed and no extra time required, no realistic scenarios remain to challenge the trader consensus on Chapecoense's match win.
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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol – Botafogo FR
Moneyline
Reg Time$30.7K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$1.6K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$51.8K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$4.6K Vol.
If Associação Chapecoense de Futebol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasilResolver
0x69c47De9D...Associação Chapecoense de Futebol – Botafogo FR
Moneyline
Reg Time$30.7K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$1.6K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$51.8K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$4.6K Vol.
If Associação Chapecoense de Futebol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasilResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chapecoense's dominant 100% implied probability stems from their 2-0 victory over Botafogo in the Copa do Brasil round-of-16 second leg at Arena Condá on May 14, overturning a 1-0 first-leg deficit on aggregate. Marcinho's stunning 20th-minute strike and Yannick Bolasie's stoppage-time goal before halftime sealed the win, as Chapecoense leveraged home advantage, solid defending, and clinical finishing against a rotated Botafogo lineup that rested Danilo Barbosa and struggled with poor conversion despite early chances. Botafogo's recent fixture congestion and subpar away form in knockouts contributed to the collapse. With the 90-minute result confirmed and no extra time required, no realistic scenarios remain to challenge the trader consensus on Chapecoense's match win.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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