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Sports·Soccer

Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

icon for Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
Sports·Soccer

Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

SC Paderborn

$0 Vol.

62%

Werder Bremen

$0 Vol.

54%

1. FC Köln

$0 Vol.

50%

Union Berlin

$0 Vol.

50%

VfB Stuttgart

$0 Vol.

50%

FC Schalke 04

$0 Vol.

50%

Hamburger SV

$0 Vol.

50%

Mainz 05

$0 Vol.

50%

SC Freiburg

$0 Vol.

50%

SV Elversberg

$0 Vol.

47%

FC Augsburg

$0 Vol.

46%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

$0 Vol.

44%

Eintracht Frankfurt

$0 Vol.

39%

TSG Hoffenheim

$0 Vol.

38%

RB Leipzig

$0 Vol.

28%

Bayer Leverkusen

$0 Vol.

21%

Borussia Dortmund

$0 Vol.

21%

Bayern Munich

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The three sides promoted from 2. Bundesliga—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—face the steepest challenge in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, with pre-season models such as Opta simulations and betting markets assigning them the highest relegation probabilities of roughly 22-25% for direct demotion. Schalke returns with added experience via Edin Džeko but limited overall squad depth, while first-time top-flight side Elversberg and playoff-winner Paderborn lack the defensive organization and squad valuation of established sides. Mid-table clubs including 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, Hamburger SV, and Union Berlin remain in the conversation due to recent form concerns and leaky defenses. The bottom two finishers drop automatically, with 16th entering the two-legged playoff against 2. Bundesliga third place. Early matchweek results offer little clarity on momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.

If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The three sides promoted from 2. Bundesliga—Schalke 04, SV Elversberg, and SC Paderborn—face the steepest challenge in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, with pre-season models such as Opta simulations and betting markets assigning them the highest relegation probabilities of roughly 22-25% for direct demotion. Schalke returns with added experience via Edin Džeko but limited overall squad depth, while first-time top-flight side Elversberg and playoff-winner Paderborn lack the defensive organization and squad valuation of established sides. Mid-table clubs including 1. FC Köln, Werder Bremen, Hamburger SV, and Union Berlin remain in the conversation due to recent form concerns and leaky defenses. The bottom two finishers drop automatically, with 16th entering the two-legged playoff against 2. Bundesliga third place. Early matchweek results offer little clarity on momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga.

If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SC Paderborn" at 62%, followed by "Werder Bremen" at 54%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)" is "SC Paderborn" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Werder Bremen" at 54%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.