Anish Giri's commanding 100% implied probability in the Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4 market reflects his decisive victory, as Esipenko resigned after a critical blunder on move 18.Qxd3, allowing Giri's precise 18...Ba4! to seize a winning advantage in the freestyle format starting from Position #104. This marks Giri's first win in the tournament, boosting him after earlier draws, while Esipenko slumped following a Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov. Giri's higher rating (2753 vs. Esipenko's 2698) and superior form against a faltering opponent drove traders to price the outcome as virtually certain, with minimal paths to reversal barring an unprecedented scoring dispute.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
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Andrey Esipenko – Anish Giri
Moneyline
$5.0K Vol.
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrey Esipenko – Anish Giri
Moneyline
$5.0K Vol.
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anish Giri's commanding 100% implied probability in the Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4 market reflects his decisive victory, as Esipenko resigned after a critical blunder on move 18.Qxd3, allowing Giri's precise 18...Ba4! to seize a winning advantage in the freestyle format starting from Position #104. This marks Giri's first win in the tournament, boosting him after earlier draws, while Esipenko slumped following a Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov. Giri's higher rating (2753 vs. Esipenko's 2698) and superior form against a faltering opponent drove traders to price the outcome as virtually certain, with minimal paths to reversal barring an unprecedented scoring dispute.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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