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icon for Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?

Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?

icon for Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?

Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?

$32,746 Vol.

May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$32,746 Vol.

Polymarket

April 24

$19,724 Vol.

Yes

April 27

$3,660 Vol.

Yes

May 1

$4,335 Vol.

Yes

May 4

$1,125 Vol.

Yes

May 8

$3,901 Vol.

Yes

Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET). If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.Drake's audacious "Iceman" album rollout reached a fever pitch with a 25-foot ice sculpture installed in a Toronto parking lot on April 20, hiding the project's release date inside a blue bag buried in the structure. Crowds of fans and streamers like Kishka swiftly mobilized, using pickaxes and blowtorches to breach the ice amid police and fire department interventions for safety, ultimately extracting what appears to be a May 15 drop date—confirmed by video footage and widespread media reports. This viral stunt has amplified hype through chaotic social media buzz and even commentary from Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow, positioning "Iceman" as a potential chart-topper. Traders should watch for Drake's official confirmation or pre-release singles, with the album eyeing a Friday streaming debut amid fierce hip-hop competition.

Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET).

If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.
Volume
$32,746
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET). If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET). If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.Drake's audacious "Iceman" album rollout reached a fever pitch with a 25-foot ice sculpture installed in a Toronto parking lot on April 20, hiding the project's release date inside a blue bag buried in the structure. Crowds of fans and streamers like Kishka swiftly mobilized, using pickaxes and blowtorches to breach the ice amid police and fire department interventions for safety, ultimately extracting what appears to be a May 15 drop date—confirmed by video footage and widespread media reports. This viral stunt has amplified hype through chaotic social media buzz and even commentary from Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow, positioning "Iceman" as a potential chart-topper. Traders should watch for Drake's official confirmation or pre-release singles, with the album eyeing a Friday streaming debut amid fierce hip-hop competition.

Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET).

If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.
Volume
$32,746
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Drake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET). If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 24" at 100%, followed by "April 27" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?" has generated $32.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?" is "April 24" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 27" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drake Iceman sculpture Date Reveal by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.