Argentina enters the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal as the defending champion with Lionel Messi leading a squad that produced a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Egypt on July 7 after trailing 2-0 late. This momentum, combined with superior attacking depth and historical success in knockout stages, underpins the 57.5% implied probability. Switzerland reached the same stage by edging Colombia 4-3 on penalties following a scoreless draw, showcasing disciplined defending and set-piece resilience that supports their 16.5% chance. The 27.5% draw price reflects the evenly matched styles typical of World Cup knockouts, where one defensive lapse or extra-time breakthrough can decide advancement to the semifinals in Kansas City on July 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeam to Advance
$113K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$183K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$8.3K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$7.2K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$4.1K Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$1.4K Vol.
Argentina Totals
Reg Time$1.2K Vol.
Switzerland Totals
Reg Time$863 Vol.
Extra Time?
$110 Vol.
Penalty Shootout?
$62 Vol.
If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Team to Advance
$113K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$183K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$8.3K Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$7.2K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$4.1K Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$1.4K Vol.
Argentina Totals
Reg Time$1.2K Vol.
Switzerland Totals
Reg Time$863 Vol.
Extra Time?
$110 Vol.
Penalty Shootout?
$62 Vol.
If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina enters the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal as the defending champion with Lionel Messi leading a squad that produced a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Egypt on July 7 after trailing 2-0 late. This momentum, combined with superior attacking depth and historical success in knockout stages, underpins the 57.5% implied probability. Switzerland reached the same stage by edging Colombia 4-3 on penalties following a scoreless draw, showcasing disciplined defending and set-piece resilience that supports their 16.5% chance. The 27.5% draw price reflects the evenly matched styles typical of World Cup knockouts, where one defensive lapse or extra-time breakthrough can decide advancement to the semifinals in Kansas City on July 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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Frequently Asked Questions