Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 5?
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 Wol.
$53,882 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 Wol.
$53,882 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
$2,182 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$379 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$4,048 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,894 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$648 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$2,589 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$9,907 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$4,397 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$8,727 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$8,903 Wol.
Yes
88°F or higher
$10,208 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,882Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,882Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania