Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,386 Wol.
$33,386 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$33,386 Wol.
$33,386 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
$1,507 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,845 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,703 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,433 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,694 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,361 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$5,371 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,299 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,787 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,831 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,556 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,386Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,386Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers for Tokyo on July 5, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with early-July climatological lows of roughly 22–23°C while reflecting the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (21–23°C at ~35–36% each) include variable shower timing, which could enhance evaporative cooling or trap heat via increased humidity, plus urban heat-island effects and light wind patterns that modulate overnight temperature drops. Model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon, with any shift in cloud cover or precipitation intensity likely to tip probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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