Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on May 20 will settle at 24°C, driven by a transitional spring pattern featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May in the North China Plain, where average highs hover near 26–28°C but current atmospheric stability suppresses further warming. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration reinforces the outlook through observed surface observations and ensemble model consensus. While a sudden shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could theoretically push readings to 25°C or higher, the tight clustering of data makes such deviations highly improbable by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on May 20?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on May 20 will settle at 24°C, driven by a transitional spring pattern featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May in the North China Plain, where average highs hover near 26–28°C but current atmospheric stability suppresses further warming. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration reinforces the outlook through observed surface observations and ensemble model consensus. While a sudden shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could theoretically push readings to 25°C or higher, the tight clustering of data makes such deviations highly improbable by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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