Traders see the lowest temperature in Miami on June 30 split across the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s because NOAA and NWS guidance show a typical early-summer regime of light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered nocturnal showers. Persistent cloud cover from evening convection would trap heat and support an 80–81 °F minimum, while clearer breaks could allow radiational cooling toward 78 °F or below. Model consensus remains tight on the overall pattern yet diverges on exact overnight cloud fraction and shower timing, keeping probabilities clustered near 23–24 % for the central bins and leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F或更低 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$21,780 交易量
$21,780 交易量
69°F或更低
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F或更低 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$21,780 交易量
$21,780 交易量
69°F或更低
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders see the lowest temperature in Miami on June 30 split across the mid-to-upper 70s through low 80s because NOAA and NWS guidance show a typical early-summer regime of light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered nocturnal showers. Persistent cloud cover from evening convection would trap heat and support an 80–81 °F minimum, while clearer breaks could allow radiational cooling toward 78 °F or below. Model consensus remains tight on the overall pattern yet diverges on exact overnight cloud fraction and shower timing, keeping probabilities clustered near 23–24 % for the central bins and leaving room for last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题