Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日芝加哥最高温度？
7月28日芝加哥最高温度？
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 24%
76-77°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
73°F或以下
$89 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$188 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$87 交易量
9%
78-79°F
$174 交易量
25%
80-81°F
$199 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$607 交易量
24%
84-85°F
$111 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$189 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$112 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$242 交易量
<1%
92°F或更高
$227 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,938结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,938结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on July 28 point to a daily maximum near 80°F, below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 84°F. This cooler trajectory stems from a passing upper-level trough and associated northerly flow advecting milder Canadian air, combined with increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 78–82°F, with limited potential for higher readings if subsidence strengthens or skies clear more than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 78–83°F bins, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-range model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead of peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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