Current short-range forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a stable summer pattern over northern France, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 27 expected near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, as recent cooling after mid-July heat episodes has lowered the risk of 30 °C-plus readings while limiting downside potential below 26 °C. Key variables still in play include afternoon convective cloud development and any subtle shifts in the Atlantic ridge that could alter insolation or advection; updated 12–48 h model runs and official bulletins will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月27日巴黎最高气温?
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
37%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
29°C 17%
26°C 13%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
37%
29°C
17%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a stable summer pattern over northern France, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 27 expected near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus explains the tight market clustering around those outcomes, as recent cooling after mid-July heat episodes has lowered the risk of 30 °C-plus readings while limiting downside potential below 26 °C. Key variables still in play include afternoon convective cloud development and any subtle shifts in the Atlantic ridge that could alter insolation or advection; updated 12–48 h model runs and official bulletins will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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