Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 交易量
$132,084 交易量
2026-06-25
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 交易量
$132,084 交易量
2026-06-25
21°C or below
$746 交易量
No
22°C
$20,303 交易量
No
23°C
$9,129 交易量
No
24°C
$22,502 交易量
No
25°C
$13,163 交易量
No
26°C
$14,887 交易量
No
27°C
$10,754 交易量
Yes
28°C
$21,221 交易量
No
29°C
$11,311 交易量
No
30°C
$4,780 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$3,290 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$132,084結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$132,084結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions