Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月5日成都最高溫度？
7月5日成都最高溫度？
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 交易量
$91,172 交易量
2026-07-05
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,172 交易量
$91,172 交易量
2026-07-05
29°C or below
$1,561 交易量
No
30°C
$3,067 交易量
No
31°C
$2,328 交易量
No
32°C
$4,338 交易量
No
33°C
$8,187 交易量
No
34°C
$13,959 交易量
No
35°C
$17,911 交易量
No
36°C
$12,956 交易量
No
37°C
$12,055 交易量
Yes
38°C
$9,476 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$5,335 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$91,172結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$91,172結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers over Chengdu on July 5, keeping daytime maximum temperatures centered near 33–35 °C. These conditions arise from the persistent influence of the East Asian monsoon, which sustains high humidity and limits strong solar heating within the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trap. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of convection, which can shave several degrees off peak readings if rain arrives earlier or deepen warming if skies clear. Historical July climatology shows similar setups yielding highs in this narrow band, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 33–35 °C while leaving room for 36 °C or higher only if subsidence strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions