Current short-range forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu’s August 3 maximum near 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30.5 % and 28.5 %. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture support hot, humid conditions, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover—already indicated in guidance—limit further warming and explain the tight clustering around 31–33 °C. The urban heat-island effect within the Sichuan Basin can add 1–2 °C on clear days, yet any increase in precipitation probability or thicker cloud decks would cap readings at 31 °C or below. Conversely, drier air and stronger insolation could push values to 34 °C, though current ensemble consensus keeps that probability modest. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日成都最高溫度？
8月3日成都最高溫度？
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C或以上
2%
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
$43 交易量
<1%
27°C
$49 交易量
1%
28°C
$137 交易量
3%
29°C
$45 交易量
7%
30°C
$41 交易量
8%
31°C
$16 交易量
22%
32°C
$78 交易量
29%
33°C
$134 交易量
31%
34°C
$36 交易量
11%
35°C
$36 交易量
5%
36°C或以上
$148 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu’s August 3 maximum near 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30.5 % and 28.5 %. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture support hot, humid conditions, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover—already indicated in guidance—limit further warming and explain the tight clustering around 31–33 °C. The urban heat-island effect within the Sichuan Basin can add 1–2 °C on clear days, yet any increase in precipitation probability or thicker cloud decks would cap readings at 31 °C or below. Conversely, drier air and stronger insolation could push values to 34 °C, though current ensemble consensus keeps that probability modest. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$762結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu’s August 3 maximum near 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30.5 % and 28.5 %. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture support hot, humid conditions, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover—already indicated in guidance—limit further warming and explain the tight clustering around 31–33 °C. The urban heat-island effect within the Sichuan Basin can add 1–2 °C on clear days, yet any increase in precipitation probability or thicker cloud decks would cap readings at 31 °C or below. Conversely, drier air and stronger insolation could push values to 34 °C, though current ensemble consensus keeps that probability modest. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$762結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu’s August 3 maximum near 32–33 °C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30.5 % and 28.5 %. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture support hot, humid conditions, while scattered showers and increased cloud cover—already indicated in guidance—limit further warming and explain the tight clustering around 31–33 °C. The urban heat-island effect within the Sichuan Basin can add 1–2 °C on clear days, yet any increase in precipitation probability or thicker cloud decks would cap readings at 31 °C or below. Conversely, drier air and stronger insolation could push values to 34 °C, though current ensemble consensus keeps that probability modest. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions