Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日成都最高溫度？
8月1日成都最高溫度？
26°C 28%
27°C 25%
28°C 18%
25°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
28%
27°C
25%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C或以上
1%
26°C 28%
27°C 25%
28°C 18%
25°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
$47 交易量
1%
23°C
$396 交易量
2%
24°C
$96 交易量
6%
25°C
$325 交易量
16%
26°C
$418 交易量
28%
27°C
$112 交易量
25%
28°C
$152 交易量
18%
29°C
$60 交易量
9%
30°C
$131 交易量
4%
31°C
$268 交易量
4%
32°C或以上
$2,139 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,143結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,143結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPersistent rain and cloud cover over Sichuan province have kept recent highs in Chengdu suppressed near or below 28°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 25–28°C outcomes. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight ongoing thundery showers and northerly flow through early August, limiting daytime heating compared to the 31–32°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows modest variability in peak temperatures depending on exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, with some runs favoring 26–27°C and others allowing brief clearing to 29°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term updates heavily, as resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations on August 1.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions