US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

24%

機率

Yes

最新

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

10%

機率

Yes

最新

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

28%

機率

Yes

最新

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief

40%

Yes40%No60%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

39%

Yes39%No61%

Oil Sanction Relief

40%

Yes40%No60%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

39%

Yes39%No61%

最新

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

49%

機率

Yes

最新

詹姆斯·科米會在5月15日前離開這個國家嗎？

是

否

最新

科米週五前會再次在Substack上發布視頻訊息嗎？

37%

是

否

最新

科米會在星期五前侮辱特朗普嗎？

23%

是

否

最新

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

76%

機率

Yes

最新

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change

53%

Yes53%No47%

25 bps increase

47%

Yes47%No53%

No change

53%

Yes53%No47%

25 bps increase

47%

Yes47%No53%

最新

Airbnb Nights and Seats Booked above ___ in Q1?

150 million

57%

Yes57%No43%

155 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

150 million

57%

Yes57%No43%

155 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

最新

Marriott Total Rooms above ___ in Q1?

1.78 million

52%

Yes52%No48%

1.80 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

1.78 million

52%

Yes52%No48%

1.80 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

最新

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

13.8 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

13.6 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

13.8 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

最新

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

52%

機率

Yes

最新

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

19 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

20 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

19 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

20 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

最新

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

3,400

Yes99%No1%

3,500

51%

Yes51%No49%

3,400

Yes99%No1%

3,500

51%

Yes51%No49%

最新

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Kirk Cousins

72%

Yes72%No28%

Fernando Mendoza

45%

Yes45%No55%

Kirk Cousins

72%

Yes72%No28%

Fernando Mendoza

45%

Yes45%No55%

最新

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

22%

機率

Yes

最新

Pro Football: Will Diego Pavia be rostered by Week 1?

50%

機率

Yes

最新

MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Los Angeles Dodgers

62%

Yes62%No38%

New York Yankees

52%

Yes52%No48%

Los Angeles Dodgers

62%

Yes62%No38%

New York Yankees

52%

Yes52%No48%

最新