Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日青島氣溫最高？
8月1日青島氣溫最高？
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
34°C 16%
37°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C或以上
6%
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
34°C 16%
37°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
28°C或以下
$276 交易量
<1%
29°C
$371 交易量
<1%
30°C
$210 交易量
1%
31°C
$71 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
1%
33°C
$195 交易量
3%
34°C
$838 交易量
16%
35°C
$24 交易量
31%
36°C
$123 交易量
36%
37°C
$106 交易量
14%
38°C或以上
$93 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,307結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,307結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions