Traders have converged on 31°C as the implied outcome for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 1, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance under the city’s humid subtropical summer regime. Official model runs and regional analyses show a daytime maximum near this level, driven by typical August atmospheric conditions including high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential thunderstorm activity that limits solar heating and caps peaks around the 30–32°C range consistent with climatological averages. This positioning aligns with observed trends where monsoon moisture and diurnal convection prevent stronger warming. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed 31°C, while stronger-than-expected rain or a shift in steering patterns might keep the high at or below 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日廣州最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,357 交易量
$74,357 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,357 交易量
$74,357 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on 31°C as the implied outcome for Guangzhou’s highest temperature on August 1, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance under the city’s humid subtropical summer regime. Official model runs and regional analyses show a daytime maximum near this level, driven by typical August atmospheric conditions including high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential thunderstorm activity that limits solar heating and caps peaks around the 30–32°C range consistent with climatological averages. This positioning aligns with observed trends where monsoon moisture and diurnal convection prevent stronger warming. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow temperatures to exceed 31°C, while stronger-than-expected rain or a shift in steering patterns might keep the high at or below 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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