Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日釜山的最高溫度?
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
28%
36°C
35%
37°C
17%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
28%
36°C
35%
37°C
17%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models show high uncertainty for Busan’s August 3 peak temperature, with 35–36°C outcomes trading near even odds. Coastal location amplifies sensitivity to sea-breeze timing and strength, which can cap daytime highs or allow brief spikes depending on wind direction and marine layer depth. Current synoptic setup features weak high pressure with variable moisture and limited cloud cover, keeping model spreads tight around 34–37°C. New 00Z and 12Z runs plus local mesoscale guidance will likely drive the next market shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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