Official Met Office observations for August 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 26°C at key London stations, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data from standardized Stevenson screens, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under weak high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows August daily maxima in central London averaging near 22–24°C, making 26°C a modest but well-supported peak. Realistically, only post-hoc data revisions from the Met Office or disputes over station selection could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月1日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,677 交易量
$120,677 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,677 交易量
$120,677 交易量
2026-08-01
21°C or below
$803 交易量
No
22°C
$2,037 交易量
No
23°C
$7,638 交易量
No
24°C
$15,322 交易量
No
25°C
$22,868 交易量
No
26°C
$27,200 交易量
Yes
27°C
$21,795 交易量
No
28°C
$15,527 交易量
No
29°C
$2,380 交易量
No
30°C
$1,787 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$3,320 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for August 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 26°C at key London stations, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data from standardized Stevenson screens, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under weak high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows August daily maxima in central London averaging near 22–24°C, making 26°C a modest but well-supported peak. Realistically, only post-hoc data revisions from the Met Office or disputes over station selection could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$120,677結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for August 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 26°C at key London stations, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data from standardized Stevenson screens, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under weak high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows August daily maxima in central London averaging near 22–24°C, making 26°C a modest but well-supported peak. Realistically, only post-hoc data revisions from the Met Office or disputes over station selection could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120,677結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations for August 1, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 26°C at key London stations, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data from standardized Stevenson screens, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under weak high pressure and limited cloud cover. Historical climatology shows August daily maxima in central London averaging near 22–24°C, making 26°C a modest but well-supported peak. Realistically, only post-hoc data revisions from the Met Office or disputes over station selection could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions