Traders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日上海最高溫度？
8月3日上海最高溫度？
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
39%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 39%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C or below
$247 交易量
<1%
30°C
$130 交易量
1%
31°C
$145 交易量
2%
32°C
$284 交易量
4%
33°C
$558 交易量
18%
34°C
$807 交易量
33%
35°C
$1,192 交易量
39%
36°C
$261 交易量
12%
37°C
$1,460 交易量
1%
38°C
$106 交易量
2%
39°C or higher
$772 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,962結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,962結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders see the highest temperature in Shanghai on August 3 as most likely 34–35 °C because short-range model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and China Meteorological Administration places daytime maxima in that narrow band under typical early-August subtropical conditions. The Yangtze River Delta’s urban heat island, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports peak readings near or slightly above the 34 °C climatological normal, while any increase in monsoon moisture or onshore breeze could cap the high at 33 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, keeping 36 °C or higher at low probability unless a stronger high-pressure ridge builds. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the outcome range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions