Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project an overnight low of 28–29°C in Shanghai on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Daytime highs near 37–38°C align with typical August climatology, where minimum temperatures average 25–28°C amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no significant cooling triggers. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger onshore winds could enhance cooling toward 27°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日上海最低溫度？
8月2日上海最低溫度？
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,123 交易量
$34,123 交易量
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,123 交易量
$34,123 交易量
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
$951 交易量
否
24°C
$1,233 交易量
否
25°C
$1,037 交易量
否
26°C
$3,125 交易量
否
27°C
$6,380 交易量
否
28°C
$5,654 交易量
否
29°C
$11,293 交易量
是
30°C
$2,636 交易量
否
31°C
$553 交易量
否
32°C
$424 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$837 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project an overnight low of 28–29°C in Shanghai on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Daytime highs near 37–38°C align with typical August climatology, where minimum temperatures average 25–28°C amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no significant cooling triggers. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger onshore winds could enhance cooling toward 27°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$34,123結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project an overnight low of 28–29°C in Shanghai on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Daytime highs near 37–38°C align with typical August climatology, where minimum temperatures average 25–28°C amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no significant cooling triggers. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger onshore winds could enhance cooling toward 27°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,123結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project an overnight low of 28–29°C in Shanghai on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Daytime highs near 37–38°C align with typical August climatology, where minimum temperatures average 25–28°C amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations showing no significant cooling triggers. A sudden increase in cloud cover, unexpected rainfall, or stronger onshore winds could enhance cooling toward 27°C or below, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions