Recent forecast guidance for early August places Istanbul's daytime maximum near 29–31°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity moderating peak readings at official stations. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or thin high-cloud cover that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 28°C, yet recent years show frequent excursions above 30°C during calm periods; traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing warm advection and the stabilizing influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Resolution will hinge on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum at the central Istanbul station, with final data expected shortly after sunset on August 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月4日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C or below
$43 交易量
<1%
25°C
$190 交易量
1%
26°C
$41 交易量
3%
27°C
$52 交易量
6%
28°C
$1,807 交易量
28%
29°C
$30 交易量
37%
30°C
$153 交易量
19%
31°C
$18 交易量
2%
32°C
$20 交易量
2%
33°C
$30 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for early August places Istanbul's daytime maximum near 29–31°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity moderating peak readings at official stations. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or thin high-cloud cover that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 28°C, yet recent years show frequent excursions above 30°C during calm periods; traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing warm advection and the stabilizing influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Resolution will hinge on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum at the central Istanbul station, with final data expected shortly after sunset on August 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,393結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for early August places Istanbul's daytime maximum near 29–31°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity moderating peak readings at official stations. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or thin high-cloud cover that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 28°C, yet recent years show frequent excursions above 30°C during calm periods; traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing warm advection and the stabilizing influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Resolution will hinge on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum at the central Istanbul station, with final data expected shortly after sunset on August 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,393結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for early August places Istanbul's daytime maximum near 29–31°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light northeasterly flow and moderate humidity moderating peak readings at official stations. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or thin high-cloud cover that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 28°C, yet recent years show frequent excursions above 30°C during calm periods; traders appear to weigh the balance between ongoing warm advection and the stabilizing influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Resolution will hinge on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s verified maximum at the central Istanbul station, with final data expected shortly after sunset on August 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions