Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日東京氣溫最高？
8月2日東京氣溫最高？
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
35°C 19%
36°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
35°C 19%
36°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
30°C or below
$545 交易量
1%
31°C
$223 交易量
3%
32°C
$125 交易量
6%
33°C
$705 交易量
28%
34°C
$294 交易量
32%
35°C
$329 交易量
19%
36°C
$228 交易量
7%
37°C
$204 交易量
3%
38°C
$453 交易量
2%
39°C
$262 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$405 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,772結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,772結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent summer 2026 forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures across Japan through August, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and clear skies over Tokyo. This setup supports daytime highs typically reaching 31–35°C amid high humidity, consistent with AccuWeather projections of 28–37°C ranges for the month and historical August averages near 31°C. With only days until August 2, short-term model runs show modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover or sea breezes that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–35°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts in the coming 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions