Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat stress warnings across the Gush Dan coastal plain. This positions 34–36°C outcomes as the market focus, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 35°C based on model consensus for peak readings under clear skies and light winds. Typical August maxima average near 32°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated regional temperatures and minimal marine cooling influence, support the slight upward bias reflected in the 59.5% weighting on 35°C. Updated official guidance and any last-minute model shifts before resolution will remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C 58%
34°C 21%
36°C 19%
37°C 3%
$11,856 交易量
$11,856 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
21%
35°C
58%
36°C
19%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 58%
34°C 21%
36°C 19%
37°C 3%
$11,856 交易量
$11,856 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
21%
35°C
58%
36°C
19%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high of 34°C for Tel Aviv on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat stress warnings across the Gush Dan coastal plain. This positions 34–36°C outcomes as the market focus, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 35°C based on model consensus for peak readings under clear skies and light winds. Typical August maxima average near 32°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including elevated regional temperatures and minimal marine cooling influence, support the slight upward bias reflected in the 59.5% weighting on 35°C. Updated official guidance and any last-minute model shifts before resolution will remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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