Current forecasts from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and models such as those from AccuWeather indicate a peak near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 1 under typical August high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light westerly flow, with sea breezes providing limited afternoon moderation. These conditions align with historical August averages of 31–32°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects and minor 850 hPa temperature variations to push the official maximum (likely measured at Ben Gurion or a central station) across the 34°C threshold. Trader emphasis on 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, as small shifts in timing or localized heating can alter the daily high without triggering broader heatwave dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C 60%
34°C 37%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$32,206 交易量
$32,206 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
53%
35°C
60%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
34°C 37%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$32,206 交易量
$32,206 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
53%
35°C
60%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and models such as those from AccuWeather indicate a peak near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 1 under typical August high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light westerly flow, with sea breezes providing limited afternoon moderation. These conditions align with historical August averages of 31–32°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects and minor 850 hPa temperature variations to push the official maximum (likely measured at Ben Gurion or a central station) across the 34°C threshold. Trader emphasis on 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, as small shifts in timing or localized heating can alter the daily high without triggering broader heatwave dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions