Recent PAGASA and international forecasts point to partly cloudy to overcast skies over Manila on August 3, with a 60% chance of rain or thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon, keeping daytime highs near 30–33 °C (86–91 °F). Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating, favoring a maximum near 29 °C while leaving room for brief sunny spells to push readings to 30 °C or hold them at 28 °C. Historical August averages of 30–31 °C provide context, yet the current monsoon flow and high humidity introduce day-to-day variability that explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced rainfall or clearer intervals shift the most likely outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月3日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
$286 交易量
1%
25°C
$695 交易量
<1%
26°C
$180 交易量
3%
27°C
$92 交易量
7%
28°C
$137 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
32%
30°C
$13 交易量
23%
31°C
$40 交易量
9%
32°C
$91 交易量
2%
33°C
$90 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$21 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and international forecasts point to partly cloudy to overcast skies over Manila on August 3, with a 60% chance of rain or thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon, keeping daytime highs near 30–33 °C (86–91 °F). Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating, favoring a maximum near 29 °C while leaving room for brief sunny spells to push readings to 30 °C or hold them at 28 °C. Historical August averages of 30–31 °C provide context, yet the current monsoon flow and high humidity introduce day-to-day variability that explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced rainfall or clearer intervals shift the most likely outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,644結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and international forecasts point to partly cloudy to overcast skies over Manila on August 3, with a 60% chance of rain or thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon, keeping daytime highs near 30–33 °C (86–91 °F). Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating, favoring a maximum near 29 °C while leaving room for brief sunny spells to push readings to 30 °C or hold them at 28 °C. Historical August averages of 30–31 °C provide context, yet the current monsoon flow and high humidity introduce day-to-day variability that explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced rainfall or clearer intervals shift the most likely outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,644結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent PAGASA and international forecasts point to partly cloudy to overcast skies over Manila on August 3, with a 60% chance of rain or thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon, keeping daytime highs near 30–33 °C (86–91 °F). Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit solar heating, favoring a maximum near 29 °C while leaving room for brief sunny spells to push readings to 30 °C or hold them at 28 °C. Historical August averages of 30–31 °C provide context, yet the current monsoon flow and high humidity introduce day-to-day variability that explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify whether enhanced rainfall or clearer intervals shift the most likely outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions