Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on July 31, aligning precisely with trader consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-July conditions under a stable high-pressure system with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, producing temperatures near the long-term average high of around 85°F. Model guidance and surface analyses from NOAA confirmed minimal deviation from forecast expectations, reinforcing the market's 100% implied probability. Revisions to preliminary data or resolution based on an alternate station reading remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the final outcome before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月31日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$72,532 交易量
$72,532 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$72,532 交易量
$72,532 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
$757 交易量
No
76-77°F
$906 交易量
No
78-79°F
$2,167 交易量
No
80-81°F
$7,634 交易量
No
82-83°F
$8,691 交易量
No
84-85°F
$19,929 交易量
Yes
86-87°F
$12,756 交易量
No
88-89°F
$10,345 交易量
No
90-91°F
$2,762 交易量
No
92-93°F
$2,801 交易量
No
94°F or higher
$3,785 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on July 31, aligning precisely with trader consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-July conditions under a stable high-pressure system with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, producing temperatures near the long-term average high of around 85°F. Model guidance and surface analyses from NOAA confirmed minimal deviation from forecast expectations, reinforcing the market's 100% implied probability. Revisions to preliminary data or resolution based on an alternate station reading remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the final outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$72,532結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on July 31, aligning precisely with trader consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-July conditions under a stable high-pressure system with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, producing temperatures near the long-term average high of around 85°F. Model guidance and surface analyses from NOAA confirmed minimal deviation from forecast expectations, reinforcing the market's 100% implied probability. Revisions to preliminary data or resolution based on an alternate station reading remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the final outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,532結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on July 31, aligning precisely with trader consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-July conditions under a stable high-pressure system with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, producing temperatures near the long-term average high of around 85°F. Model guidance and surface analyses from NOAA confirmed minimal deviation from forecast expectations, reinforcing the market's 100% implied probability. Revisions to preliminary data or resolution based on an alternate station reading remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the final outcome before settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions