Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
8月3日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
3%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
$291 交易量
1%
27°C
$291 交易量
1%
28°C
$51 交易量
1%
29°C
$37 交易量
1%
30°C
$16 交易量
4%
31°C
$13 交易量
7%
32°C
$208 交易量
23%
33°C
$168 交易量
38%
34°C
$222 交易量
27%
35°C
$18 交易量
5%
36°C或更高
$30 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,345結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,345結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ETTrader consensus favors a daily maximum near 33°C in Karachi on August 3, with 32–34°C capturing over 87% of implied probability, driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures across Sindh, as projected in the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July–September 2026 outlook, support this range, while coastal humidity and potential convective cloud cover or light rain moderate extremes. Recent impact-based forecasts for lower Sindh highlight a 30–50 mm rainfall risk through early August, which could suppress peak readings relative to drier heatwave analogs. Model consensus from agencies like AccuWeather aligns with 31–35°C highs, consistent with historical August averages near 32°C, though any delay in monsoon showers could shift probabilities toward 34–35°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions